Sandhausen vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sandhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
STU
1 - 1
SVS
22%
25%
54%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
SVS
2 - 2
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ULM
2 - 1
SVS
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
SVS
1 - 1
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
BON
2 - 3
SVS
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 0
HOF
35%
25%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
WAL
5 - 1
FRE
75%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
0 - 3
CRA
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FRE
5 - 3
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
STU
0 - 0
FRE
36%
27%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |