Sandhausen vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
13º
10º
29
9º
20º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 70 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 69 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 69 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 62 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 59 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 58 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 58 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 56 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 54 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 53 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 51 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 50 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 48 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 45 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 42 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 42 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 41 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
19º
|
22 | 38 |
18º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 37 |
19º
|
27.5% | |
|
20º
|
15 | 30 |
20º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sandhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
SVS
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
STU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
COT
1 - 1
SVS
36%
25%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 1
WAL
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
UNT
0 - 0
SVS
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
COT
5 - 1
MUN
46%
25%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 2
OSN
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UNT
2 - 2
MUN
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
SGF
1 - 3
MUN
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
WEH
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |