SV Preußen Reinfeld vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
46.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
14º
7º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 4
PRR
41%
21%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ITK
3 - 1
PRR
61%
17%
21%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PRR
4 - 0
HOH
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ECK
1 - 1
PRR
50%
21%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
EIC
2 - 1
PRR
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 1
EIC
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 3
HEI
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LUB
0 - 2
ECK
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LUB
2 - 1
DSC
54%
20%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 1
LUB
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |