SV Preußen Reinfeld vs Dornbreite Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
14º
7º
32
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Preußen Reinfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WEF
0 - 2
PRR
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PRR
2 - 2
ECK
44%
22%
35%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOH
0 - 4
PRR
41%
22%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PRR
3 - 1
VFR
45%
21%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 3
PRR
68%
16%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dornbreite Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 5
EIC
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
3 - 2
HEI
19%
18%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FLE
2 - 1
DOR
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
LUB
22%
19%
59%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |