SV 1899 Merseburg vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 4
ERF
28%
27%
46%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
FVF
6 - 0
SVM
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 0
ROS
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
CHE
6 - 0
SVM
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 4
LOK
12%
19%
69%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1982 |
CZJ
1 - 2
BFC
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
ERF
1 - 0
CZJ
36%
26%
38%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
CZJ
1 - 0
MAG
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
FVF
5 - 3
CZJ
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
CZJ
2 - 1
SGD
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |