SV 1899 Merseburg vs Carl Zeiss Jena II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
SVM
13%
21%
67%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SVM
1 - 1
WIS
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
SVM
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SVM
4 - 2
ILE
76%
16%
8%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
VFL
0 - 1
SVM
13%
21%
67%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Carl Zeiss Jena II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 3
CHL
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASB
2 - 2
CAR
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
EIN
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BSC
1 - 2
CAR
35%
25%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |