SV 1899 Merseburg vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
MAG
2 - 2
SVM
92%
6%
2%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
SVM
0 - 1
SGD
15%
20%
66%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
COT
0 - 0
SVM
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
SVM
1 - 2
BWA
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
SVM
0 - 3
ZWI
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
BFC
4 - 2
ERF
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
FVF
3 - 3
BFC
24%
24%
52%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1982 |
BFC
1 - 0
ROS
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
CHE
1 - 3
BFC
18%
23%
59%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1981 |
LOK
0 - 0
BFC
28%
25%
48%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |