SV 1899 Merseburg vs Askania Bernburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 1899 Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EIN
0 - 0
SVM
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SVM
2 - 2
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
SVM
13%
21%
67%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SVM
1 - 1
WIS
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
SVM
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Askania Bernburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ASB
1 - 5
CHL
7%
15%
77%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BSC
0 - 2
ASB
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EIN
3 - 0
ASB
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASB
2 - 2
CAR
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
ASB
58%
21%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |