SV Manching vs TuS Geretsried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Manching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
TVA
1 - 5
SVM
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SVM
0 - 3
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SVM
0 - 2
ERL
39%
24%
37%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TSK
2 - 2
SVM
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SVM
0 - 0
TPF
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Geretsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FCT
3 - 1
TUS
52%
21%
27%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
TUS
0 - 2
FRE
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ERL
4 - 0
TUS
41%
23%
37%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
TUS
0 - 0
TSK
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TUS
0 - 1
DEI
28%
22%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |