SV Manching vs TuS Geretsried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Manching
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SPK
1 - 2
SVM
34%
23%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
TSE
2 - 1
SVM
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SVM
1 - 2
CTR
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SVM
3 - 1
TAM
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DEI
8 - 1
SVM
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
TuS Geretsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TUS
2 - 2
TAM
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TSE
2 - 2
TUS
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TUS
0 - 0
LAN
35%
22%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ASD
5 - 0
TUS
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TUS
2 - 1
FCG
44%
23%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |