SV Lurup vs Elmshorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
75.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Lurup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SVE
7 - 0
SVL
82%
11%
7%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
SVL
0 - 11
NIE
9%
17%
74%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SVL
0 - 18
SUD
13%
19%
68%
|
5 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
SVL
0 - 9
BAR
7%
16%
77%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PIN
8 - 1
SVL
86%
11%
4%
|
5 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Elmshorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
ELM
1 - 2
GER
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
THA
5 - 3
ELM
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
ELM
1 - 2
BWS
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 3
ELM
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PNB
2 - 0
ELM
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |