Lochau vs Austria Lustenau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
14º
6º
26
1º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 45 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
64% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 25 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lochau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 1
FCH
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EGG
2 - 1
LOC
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
LOC
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 1
SCG
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RTB
3 - 2
LOC
37%
23%
41%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 0
AUS
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AUS
0 - 0
FCH
39%
22%
39%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
HOH
2 - 1
AUS
88%
8%
4%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
AUS
0 - 2
LUS
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
AND
2 - 0
AUS
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |