Horn vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
AMS
2 - 2
SVH
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
SVH
3 - 2
MAT
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
FAC
0 - 3
SVH
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
SVH
3 - 1
OST
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ADM
1 - 0
SVH
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
WUR
1 - 3
PAR
18%
23%
60%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
WIE
2 - 1
WUR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
WUR
5 - 0
SVS
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
WUR
3 - 1
LEN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
WUR
1 - 4
RAP
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |