Horn vs Wienerberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
GAF
0 - 2
SVH
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
SVH
0 - 1
WIE
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 2
SVH
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
SVH
1 - 1
ADM
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
0 - 0
SVH
32%
26%
43%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wienerberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 2
FCW
43%
26%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 4
WIE
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
WIE
3 - 0
NEU
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MAT
3 - 1
WIE
46%
23%
30%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |