Horn vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
16º
31
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 65 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
3º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 48 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 33 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 24 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation
|
87.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 3
AMS
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 1
SVH
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
SVH
19%
20%
62%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
3 - 0
SVH
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 1
AMS
41%
23%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SWB
3 - 2
VIE
34%
26%
41%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VIE
3 - 1
RAP
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
2 - 1
SKN
53%
23%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 3
SVS
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIE
0 - 2
FAC
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |