Horn vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
2 - 1
SVH
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
SVH
2 - 0
FCB
58%
23%
20%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SKN
1 - 1
SVH
66%
20%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
SVH
5 - 0
SCA
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
SVH
0 - 1
ALT
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
VIE
3 - 0
ALT
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
VIE
1 - 1
FCB
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
KAP
3 - 0
VIE
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
VIE
1 - 0
LUS
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
VIE
1 - 2
GRO
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |