Horn vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
73.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SVH
1 - 0
FCW
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
RAP
1 - 4
SVH
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
SVH
1 - 1
ZWE
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
WIE
0 - 1
SVH
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
SVH
4 - 1
NEU
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
STR
6 - 0
ALT
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAT
5 - 6
STR
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
STR
3 - 0
AUK
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
RAP
2 - 1
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
RBS
3 - 1
STR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |