Horn vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 3
SVH
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
SVH
2 - 2
RIT
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 4
SVH
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
SVH
4 - 1
WIE
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STA
2 - 3
SVH
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2016 |
STP
1 - 0
AUS
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
ADM
1 - 1
STP
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
STP
2 - 1
NEU
55%
22%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
AMS
4 - 0
STP
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
STP
0 - 1
VIE
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |