Horn vs Schwechat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
RAP
5 - 3
SVH
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SVH
2 - 1
FAC
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
OST
0 - 4
SVH
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SVH
3 - 2
MAT
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
RIT
1 - 2
SVH
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 2
SOL
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
NEU
1 - 2
SCH
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 0
BAU
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
RAP
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
0 - 0
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |