Horn vs SV Ried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
RAP
0 - 1
SVH
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 1
AWM
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VOR
1 - 3
SVH
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SVH
0 - 3
VIE
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 0
SVH
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 0
RAP
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
WOL
1 - 2
RIE
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RIE
2 - 3
ALT
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AUS
3 - 0
RIE
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RIE
0 - 3
RBS
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |