Horn vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
SVH
0 - 2
SCA
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 1
SVH
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
SVH
1 - 2
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
4 - 2
SVH
62%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 6
SVH
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
HAR
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SKN
2 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
FCL
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
KAP
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SKA
0 - 2
PAR
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |