Horn vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 1
SVH
21%
26%
54%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SVH
4 - 0
ADM
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 3
SVH
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
SVH
1 - 0
FAC
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 0
SVH
14%
23%
63%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 2
ADM
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
FAC
2 - 0
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 3
RAP
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SIM
0 - 0
PAR
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
SVS
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |