Horn vs Liefering analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
SCA
1 - 2
SVH
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
SVH
1 - 0
SKN
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 3
SVH
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
SVH
2 - 0
AMS
67%
19%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
SVH
1 - 1
MAT
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Liefering
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2014 |
FCL
2 - 1
VIE
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 1
FCL
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
SCA
4 - 1
FCL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
FCL
2 - 2
HAR
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |