Horn vs FC Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2013 |
VIE
3 - 1
SVH
51%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
SVH
2 - 1
HAR
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
FCB
2 - 1
SVH
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 3
SVH
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
SVH
2 - 0
SKN
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 4
SCA
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 0
LUS
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 2
ALT
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 2
VIE
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
6 - 1
LUS
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |