SV Hemelingen vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
8º
2º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
SVH
6 - 2
BOR
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TKA
3 - 1
SVH
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 3
SFL
56%
20%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SVH
12 - 1
HAS
83%
11%
7%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SGA
1 - 3
SVH
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2022 |
WER
2 - 2
OSC
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
WER
2 - 3
LEH
26%
21%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 1
WER
79%
13%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
BTN
0 - 0
WER
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
WER
7 - 1
HAB
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |