SV Hemelingen vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.1%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.3%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.6%
2.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
5º
1º
8
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
53% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BTN
5 - 1
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 0
VAB
92%
6%
2%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SGA
1 - 3
SVH
18%
18%
64%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVH
4 - 1
GEE
82%
11%
7%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
TRB
90%
7%
3%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 2
EHB
37%
22%
42%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TRB
0 - 2
VAT
74%
14%
12%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VAT
3 - 2
BRI
20%
18%
61%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
VAT
69%
16%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 1
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |