SV Hemelingen vs Vatan Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
8º
2º
37
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
SVH
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SVH
7 - 1
WER
81%
11%
8%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SVH
6 - 2
BOR
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TKA
3 - 1
SVH
34%
22%
44%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 3
SFL
56%
20%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vatan Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VAT
5 - 0
BLU
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
VAT
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 3
VAT
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 2
SGA
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 1
VAT
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |