SV Hemelingen vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
7.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
8º
2º
50
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
SVH
9 - 2
WOL
79%
12%
9%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LEH
2 - 3
SVH
13%
16%
71%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 1
BRI
69%
15%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
TSS
1 - 3
SVH
16%
18%
66%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SVH
3 - 4
BLU
83%
10%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
VAT
0 - 1
UNI
28%
21%
50%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
BLU
54%
20%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SCH
3 - 2
UNI
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
TKA
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
OSC
35%
21%
45%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |