SV Hemelingen vs TuS Komet Arsten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.2%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
8º
2º
24
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VAT
1 - 5
SVH
22%
20%
58%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 0
OSC
52%
19%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 4
SVH
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SVH
2 - 3
HEE
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
WER
2 - 6
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
BLU
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 0
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
6 - 3
TKA
90%
8%
3%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TKA
2 - 4
WOL
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TKA
3 - 4
OSC
11%
15%
74%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |