SV Hemelingen vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
7.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
5º
1º
15
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
10 | 70 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 50 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 49 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 46 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 41 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 41 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 35 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
16º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
53% | 30.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Hemelingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
SVH
1 - 2
TRB
90%
7%
3%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
WER
4 - 3
SVH
65%
18%
17%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 2
OBE
71%
15%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 2
BRI
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 4
SVH
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
GEE
5 - 2
OSC
30%
20%
50%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAB
3 - 3
GEE
36%
21%
43%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SGA
5 - 3
GEE
63%
17%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 2
TKA
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAT
2 - 4
GEE
20%
18%
62%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +2 |