Gloggnitz vs FCM Traiskirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
16º
10º
19
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 54 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 49 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 41 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 40 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gloggnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SVG
1 - 1
MAU
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
SVG
22%
25%
54%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
0 - 2
ELE
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
5 - 0
SVG
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SVG
0 - 2
AUS
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
FCM Traiskirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FAV
2 - 0
FCM
20%
21%
60%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 5
FCM
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
5 - 1
MAU
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
FCM
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 1
ELE
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |