Freistadt vs Sierning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freistadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
SVF
0 - 2
UNI
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
EFE
3 - 1
SVF
40%
23%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
SVF
1 - 0
NEU
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BAD
2 - 1
SVF
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SVF
1 - 0
USD
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sierning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 1
EFE
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
4 - 1
SIE
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 4
BAD
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
USD
0 - 2
SIE
15%
21%
64%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
BAD
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |