Frauental vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
14º
13º
38
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frauental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ILZ
1 - 1
SVF
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SVF
4 - 1
LIE
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
GNA
1 - 0
SVF
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SVF
1 - 1
UGA
32%
22%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MET
1 - 1
SVF
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
LIE
3 - 2
HGK
11%
17%
72%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
HGK
2 - 2
UGA
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 1
HGK
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
HGK
3 - 1
SCB
58%
20%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
LAF
2 - 1
HGK
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |