Fortuna Regensburg vs Würzburger FV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
18º
5º
31
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 69 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 65 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 43 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 40 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
92% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 3
REG
37%
24%
38%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 5
REG
35%
23%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NEU
0 - 2
REG
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
REG
4 - 0
AMM
35%
23%
43%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +4 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 5
REG
28%
20%
51%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Würzburger FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
0 - 1
ING
36%
23%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
5 - 1
JRE
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +3 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
EIC
1 - 1
WUR
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
WUR
1 - 1
WEI
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 3
WUR
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +2 |