Fortuna Regensburg vs TSV Karlburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
18º
6º
3
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 89% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
REG
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 3
EIC
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 1
REG
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REG
1 - 2
TSV
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
5 - 2
REG
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Karlburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
3 - 3
JRE
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ING
4 - 1
TSK
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 1
WUR
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 2
TSK
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TSK
1 - 1
DJK
15%
18%
67%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |