Fortuna Regensburg vs SpVgg Lam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATK
1 - 6
REG
8%
14%
78%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FCS
2 - 0
REG
27%
22%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REG
2 - 3
SVO
78%
14%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FCT
2 - 2
REG
14%
18%
69%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
SCE
1 - 1
REG
17%
19%
64%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
SpVgg Lam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
SVL
1 - 2
FCS
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 0
SVL
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SVL
6 - 0
TVS
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AMM
3 - 2
SVL
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SVL
3 - 2
SVE
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |