Fortuna Regensburg vs FC Tegernheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
-69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SVH
1 - 2
REG
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REG
4 - 0
TVS
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
3 - 2
REG
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
REG
4 - 1
AMM
38%
23%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
SVM
1 - 2
REG
19%
20%
60%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tegernheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
TVS
1 - 1
FCT
68%
18%
15%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FCT
0 - 6
AMM
9%
16%
76%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SVE
3 - 0
FCT
85%
11%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 1
SCE
22%
21%
57%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TBA
3 - 1
FCT
81%
12%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |