Fortuna Regensburg vs VfB Eichstätt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
18º
6º
25
1º
16º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 41.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
4 - 1
REG
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REG
1 - 2
TSV
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
5 - 2
REG
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
REG
1 - 0
ELT
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 4
REG
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
EIC
4 - 2
ING
36%
24%
41%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 2
TSK
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WEI
2 - 1
EIC
26%
22%
51%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
EIC
78%
15%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 1
EIC
43%
23%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |