Fortuna Regensburg vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
REG
2 - 3
DJK
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMM
3 - 2
REG
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
REG
4 - 1
ASV
68%
17%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SVE
0 - 1
REG
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
TBA
1 - 2
REG
16%
19%
64%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAD
1 - 0
ASV
67%
18%
16%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TSW
0 - 1
BAD
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +4 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAD
2 - 0
DJK
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BAD
1 - 0
SVL
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 4
BAD
20%
20%
61%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |