Fortuna Regensburg vs ATSV 1871 Kelheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
FCS
73%
15%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SVO
0 - 1
REG
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +4 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
REG
3 - 2
FCT
89%
8%
3%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SVH
1 - 2
REG
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REG
4 - 0
TVS
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ATSV 1871 Kelheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SVO
5 - 2
ATK
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ATK
2 - 5
SVH
13%
18%
70%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BAD
7 - 0
ATK
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ATK
2 - 6
ASV
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TSW
0 - 1
ATK
76%
14%
10%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |