Fortuna Regensburg vs Ammerthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
18º
6º
12
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
7% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79.5% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 5
REG
28%
20%
51%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 2
ELT
23%
22%
55%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
REG
3 - 3
TSK
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
REG
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
REG
2 - 3
EIC
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ammerthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AMM
0 - 0
ING
37%
23%
40%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
EIC
2 - 0
AMM
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AMM
2 - 0
WEI
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TSV
1 - 1
AMM
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AMM
1 - 0
ASV
41%
24%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |