Erzhausen vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
FSV
2 - 1
ERZ
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
ERZ
4 - 2
WAL
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ERZ
1 - 2
VIK
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
EWM
1 - 5
ERZ
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ERZ
1 - 2
BAU
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
FRA
29%
23%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
HES
1 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
FVB
35%
27%
39%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
WOR
39%
28%
33%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 2
SWM
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |