Erzhausen vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
FVB
1 - 0
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
ERZ
3 - 1
BAU
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 1
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ERZ
4 - 0
BRA
65%
20%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
KKA
0 - 0
ERZ
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
HUN
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BUC
5 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -3 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 1
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
KKA
1 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 0
SVB
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |