Erzhausen vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2003 |
FVB
2 - 0
ERZ
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BUC
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 0
ERZ
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FSV
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
WOR
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
ESC
2 - 0
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 4
HES
28%
26%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 4
FSV
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
4 - 1
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |