Erzhausen vs Vellmar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 1
ERZ
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
BAU
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ERZ
2 - 4
SVB
57%
22%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
JUG
3 - 1
ERZ
36%
25%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
ERZ
3 - 0
SCN
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
VIK
2 - 3
VEL
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
3 - 1
SVB
45%
23%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
SCN
6 - 1
VEL
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 2
SGW
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BUC
1 - 1
VEL
24%
25%
52%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |