Erzhausen vs Wörsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 0
ERZ
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FSV
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ESC
5 - 2
ERZ
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 1
HES
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
SCN
2 - 5
ERZ
49%
23%
29%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wörsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
3 - 0
WAL
68%
19%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 0
BUC
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
0 - 0
ESC
26%
24%
50%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
HES
0 - 1
WOR
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
WOR
1 - 2
SCN
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |