Erzhausen vs Bernbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
4 - 2
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FVB
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BUC
1 - 1
ERZ
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
WOR
0 - 2
ERZ
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ERZ
0 - 2
ESC
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
SVB
2 - 3
WOR
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
ESC
3 - 2
SVB
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SVB
1 - 1
HES
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SCN
1 - 0
SVB
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SVB
5 - 1
VIK
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |