Erzhausen vs Hessen Kassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
ERZ
1 - 1
KKA
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BUC
2 - 0
ERZ
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ERZ
2 - 0
EWM
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 0
ERZ
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
0 - 3
ERZ
29%
27%
45%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
HES
8 - 1
VIK
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAU
1 - 2
HES
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
HES
0 - 1
KKA
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
HES
4 - 0
EWM
84%
12%
5%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
BUC
2 - 2
HES
16%
21%
64%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |