Erzhausen vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 1
LOH
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SVB
2 - 1
ERZ
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
FVB
2 - 0
ERZ
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BUC
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2003 |
BUC
2 - 4
MAR
39%
26%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
FUL
1 - 1
BUC
73%
18%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
BUC
1 - 1
FVB
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
BUC
1 - 0
WAL
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BUC
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |