Erzhausen vs Buchonia Flieden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
1 - 0
WOR
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 0
ERZ
26%
24%
50%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 0
FSV
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
ESC
5 - 2
ERZ
68%
19%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ERZ
0 - 1
HES
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Buchonia Flieden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
BUC
0 - 3
FSV
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
BUC
3 - 2
LOH
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WOR
2 - 0
BUC
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2003 |
SCN
1 - 2
BUC
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BUC
1 - 0
EWM
38%
25%
38%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |